The SchifferLine
Timely Real Estate News…………………….15 April 2021
***********************************************************
March was a “wow” month as sales, prices zoom
March came in like the lion it is supposed to be — with sales volumes and prices zooming upward. With the year starting in the negative compared to January 2020, sales volume for the five communities I report on took off like a rocket — Beverly Hills, Beverly Hills Post Office, Bel-Air/Holmby Hills, Westwood/Century City, and Brentwood — were up 22% to $1.007 billion compared to $813 million this time a year ago. There were some big sales that drove the volume higher, especially in Bel-Air/Holmby Hills which had sales of $18 million and $27 million, not unusual for this high-end market. Beverly Hills had one for $15 million, as did BHPO, and Brentwood had two at $10 million and one at $13 million in March.
One of the true stars on LA’s Westside was Pacific Palisades, a community I also cover, which had a total of $426 million in sales through March, which is 122% higher than they had in the same period in 2020. The other leaders in sale volume increases were Brentwood with $92 million ahead of 2021, followed by Bel-Air/Holmby Hills with $54 million plus, Westwood/Century City was ahead by $49 million, Beverly Hills by $20 minion and only BHPO down by $9 million compared to the first three moons of 2020. Also, has I have oft mentioned, these stats are from the MLS, and does not take into account any private sales.
Despite the dramatic turnaround in sales, buyers are still scrambling for quality properties, and you can be assured that these properties will most likely have multiple offers, and as I research for my clients, targeted homes are often sold before I can get the client out to see the property. So, buyers — Beware! Start early with an experienced agent such as myself and expect a challenging journey. Also, please know, this is the market is all over. I have some clients that are moving to Florida and are experiencing the same rapid, fast paced market there. Patience and tenacity are a virtue for both of us!
***********************************************************
Median sales prices keep doing the expected….
Nothing is more predictable when supply is down, demand goes up…at a price! Median sales prices are zooming upward in the communities I report on.
We are clearly ahead of the same first-quarter results from 2020, as median sales prices across the board continue their upward climb. Brentwood’s median sales price is 20% higher than 2020 at $3.462 million; Beverly Hills is up 15% at $6.475 million; BHPO is also up 15% at $3.202 million; Bel-Air/Holmby Hills is up 13% at $2.210 million and Westwood/Century is down, however, by 5% at $2.470 million. Pacific Palisades is up 12% at $3.291 million.
Median sales prices reflect that “median” only — half of the homes’ sales prices are below the median price, and half are above it. It is not the standard average. What I have noticed is that buyers are coming “armed” with all-cash offers. I agree that all-cash offers can have a definite advantage in today’s market — because sellers are not eager to wait for financing to be approved or long contingencies. As a result, buyers are waiving some of their contingencies, loan, appraisal, and or physical inspections Obviously this practice can be risky, but buyers want to place themselves on a level playing field with all cash buyers. At the same time, all cash buyers many times want the benefit of a discount which might be higher than a buyer with some or all of the normal contingencies. The seller’s decision can be made on the terms of the offer, and I have seen sellers choose a non all cash offer because the terms of the offer are better. My favorite lender, Simon Atik at Great Rate Affinity has a program whereby he can qualify a non-cash buyer as a cash buyer because they do a number of pre-approval steps in qualifying the buyer, that take a little longer to do, but it gives the buyer the advantage of being in essence an all-cash buyer. Not to worry we are still doing sales with non-all-cash offers… it is done all the time, but those buyers with $$ may have a definite advantage in today’s hotly competitive market. Let’s talk as to how you can get into the game!
`
A word about interest rates…at our sales meeting this week, Simon discussed that we are currently still seeing low interest rates — 3.125% for a 30-year-fixed loan, although it is projected to be at 3.95% or 4% by the end of the year. The number of re-finance applications are lower; however, purchase applications are growing, which generally means multiple offers across the board. Lenders have let it be known; however, they are installing tougher requirements for second homes and investment properties as they believe that are at a higher risk. Simon also shared the information that the economic recovery we are experiencing is the fastest since 2014!
***********************************************************
Good news continues for high-end
For the high-end market on the Westside, we are far ahead of last year in closed sales. The number of closed sales of $5 million-plus through March 21, 2021, is 214, versus 130 at this time last year— up 65%. Of these, 65 are $10 million-plus, and there were 37 closed sales of $10 million-plus at this time last year, up 76%. Ten of these sales are $20 million-plus, and there were nine closed sales of $20 million-plus at this time last year.
We are still slightly down in the closed sales of $30 and $40 million this year. There are two closed sales of $30 million-plus this year, and there were five closed sales of $30 million-plus at this time last year. There is only one $40 million-plus sale so far this year versus two sales at this time last year.
What is also good news is that we have never seen so many pending sales. There are 106 pending sales of $5 million-plus and 65 of these are $20 million-plus and 10 are for over $20 million.
Of the current 10 sales of $20 million-plus, eight buyers are American, one is Indonesian.. The 10 sales of $20 million-plus are: four in Malibu, three in Beverly Hills, one each in Sunset Strip, Bel Air and Brentwood.
There is good news coming down our real estate path. With LA County opening up, unlocking mass attractions, including my favorite, the Hollywood Bowl, life seems to be better this Spring. Now all we need are April Showers. We need rain.
***********************************************************
Emerging trends in real estate
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a mass disruption to the way people live and work and prompted sweeping economic fallout felt throughout the world according to the Urban Land Institute’s take on emerging trends in real estate. Global leaders are still coming to grips with the long-term impact to the real estate industry. While the Asian Pacific region appears to be leading the recovery, the U.S. is also posting growth to many of its real estate sectors and
seeing some evolve to better compete in the post-pandemic world.
Here are a few of the trends highlighted in Urban Land Institute’s report on real estate trends that are on the radar for global real estate markets:
Real estate continues to attract capital. Low interest rates are fueling interest in real estate across the globe. “Most industry leaders interviewed for this report believe the inherent attraction of real estate income is even stronger this year than in pre-COVID times,” according to the ULI report.
Unknowns loom for the office sector. The office sector, however, is more difficult for real estate leaders to predict. The rise of remote working, the increasing concern for the health and wellbeing of employees, and the lessening appeal of long commutes in big cities could negatively impact leasing activity this year and next year. Many large firms could delay corporate decisions on office space or commit to a greater reliance on remote working. Many real estate leaders predict employees will eventually return to the office, even if in more of a “hybrid” working model.
ESG tops more agendas. The impact of carbon emissions from the built environment remains a pressing issue for more companies, and they’re placing a greater emphasis on environmental, social, and governance agendas. Though decarbonization and climate change have been rising up the agenda for years, it is only in the past 18 months that these issues have moved to the foreground of the industry’s thinking the ULI report notes.
Re-imagined retail. The physical brick-and-mortar retail sector has faced the increasing threat of online competition—even more so since the pandemic. But investors are not shying away from seeking out new opportunities in retail, particularly as they view some falling prices in the sector. As such, retail could be acquired and repositioned either as more usable retail formats or re-envisioned as something completely different, such as residential or urban logistics.
***********************************************************
A list you don’t want to be on — where termites are worse
Watch out in Miami, Los Angeles, and Tampa, Fla.: These places can be hotbeds for termites, according to a nationaltermite treatment company, 2021 Top 50 Termite Cities List. Los Angeles ranks #2, San Francisco #11, San Diego #12.
They report an uptick in termite treatments across the country over the past year. “With people spending more time at home in 2020, termites and termite damage were likely observed more frequently than in previous years,” They further say, “Parallel to this, 2020 held a record-breaking number of storms and hurricanes offering what termites need most in life—moisture.”
The wood-chewing insects have been blamed for causing costly damage to homes.
Property owners should beware that termites like to gravitate to wooden structures, such as porches and decks; firewood leaning against the house; soil that stays damp long-term from leaking faucets or water retention areas near the foundation; and dead trees or other landscaping near the house. Time to check out the ’neighborhood’.
***********************************************************
Cryptocurrency is creeping into real estate…
A major real estate company in Los Angeles is making a long-term bet on the growth of cryptocurrency. The
company announced last week that it will start accepting bitcoin as form of a rent payment at its residential and retail properties.
“We believe that cryptocurrency is here to stay,” they said last week at a “Power Lunch” program. “We believe that bitcoin is the right investment for us. We’ve allocated a percentage of what would normally go into the capital markets into bitcoin.”
This Los Angeles based, privately held company is both investing in bitcoin and accepting it as a form of payment. It has partnered with Gemini, a cryptocurrency exchange and custodian. Properties under their brand include outdoor malls, luxury apartments, mixed-use properties, and more.
In a statement, the firm said that it is committed to bringing decentralized retail payment options to its guests through “uncomplicated, efficient, and safe transactions protected by blockchain technology.”
This philosophy reflects the thinking of a growing number of companies that are accepting cryptocurrency as payment, including Tesla, Morgan Stanley, and PayPal, among others.
***********************************************************
Demand for pools, hot tubs is…hot
Blame Covid -19. New in-ground residential pools saw a 21% uptick in 2020 in installation compared to 2019, a spokesperson for the Pool & Hot Tub Alliance, an industry research group stated.
This is historic growth for the industry—the next closest period was in 1983 with 16% growth over a much smaller base according to the Alliance.
Hot tubs are also in demand, with some areas reporting a 400% uptick. Manufacturers are reporting a six-month wait to fulfill hot tub orders. Pool & Hot Tub Alliance members report they’re already contracted out with new orders to fulfill even into 2022.
Since the pandemic, real estate professionals are reporting pools have become a major selling point. Pools also have become one of the most popular keyword searches on real estate listing sites.
***********************************************************
My world and welcome to it…..
It seems with the opening of the world; the real estate market is moving even faster than it has been. I have a new listing of a Canyon home in Bel Air Crest, and due to the timing of having the photographs taken and uploaded, it went on the MLS without the photos. Within 3 hours of it going on the MLS, I have already received three requests for showings! By the time you get this, the photos will be online, and who knows, we may already have an accepted offer! The listing price is $2,525,000 for this lovely 4/3.5 home of approx. 2916 Sq. feet with light everywhere and views!. Please let me know if you know someone who might be interested in seeing it. Don’t think it will last long.
I find myself in the position of once again training a new assistant, Doug, so please say “hello” when you have an opportunity to meet and speak with him. He has 10 years’ experience of selling real estate out of state and will be my mentee while he is being trained in the way of California real estate. I am also enjoying being a mentor to six (6) mentees all in different stages of beginning their real estate careers, one of whom just closed escrow on a 10-unit complex in Santa Monica. And got engaged to be married!
Speaking of the world opening up, have you found that the traffic in our beloved West Los Angeles is pretty much back to what it was pre COVID? They are still in the process of remodeling my office at Coldwell Banker in Brentwood, so until they are finished sometime in June (it was supposed to be last November!) I will continue to be working out of my home office. I must admit that I enjoy not driving as much, but very much enjoy getting out and spending time with friends and look forward to the time when my family will be able to visit here, or I can go there. In the meantime, please DON’T FORGET TO CONTINUIE WEARING THOSE MASKS, GET YOUR VACCINE IF
YOU HAVEN’T ALREADY DONE SO, AND PRACTICE SOCIAL DISTTANCING.
Please remember that I am here for you for all of your real estate needs and or questions
carole@caroleschiffer.com – ceschiffer@gmail.com – 310 442-1384


Sales volume leaders through the first two months were Brentwood, up $46 million over 2020 at $160 minion and Beverly Hills up $6 million at $199 million through February. Beverly Hills Post Office sales was down $46 million, Bel-Air/Holmby Hills off $18 million and Westwood/Century City just shy of $6 million down.
There were some notable improvements in comparing February 2021 to February 2020 — Brentwood, which is off to a fast start, the median sales price is up 34% for February, and Santa Monica is up 32% for the same period. But Bel-Air/Holmby Hills was down 42% for last month compared to February 2020. Both Beverly Hills and BHPO were up 3% for February 2021. As always, with the variance of some large sales each month, these numbers reflect those sale amounts.
For all of 2020, real GDP fell by 3.5%, the worst annual decline in more than 60 years. But the Anderson Forecast’s December 2020 report offered hope of a strong recovery, dependent on mass vaccinations. With vaccines becoming widely available, the March 2021 forecast now anticipates such a recovery, as well as the establishment of a new post-pandemic norm for the economy.
What could have serious consequences here in California, a federal judge in Texas ruled that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s eviction moratorium is unconstitutional, a decision that could set legal precedent and have a sweeping effect on housing providers across the country. Under the moratorium, which President Joe Biden has extended through March, housing providers cannot evict tenants who can prove financial hardship due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Long taken up by columnists and financial planners, the “mortgage vs. wedding” question is now the subject of an entire show on Netflix. Marriage or Mortgage, which debut March 10, follows a real estate agent and a wedding planner in their efforts to win over 10 couples in a choice between an extravagant wedding or a new house.
that employers will add an average 514,000 jobs a month over the next four quarters.
Buyers are particular about the look and feel of their homes. They’re also looking to stretch out. According to Bank of America’s Homebuyer Insights, 86% of prospective homebuyers wish for more indoor space, and 64% want more space outdoors. Additionally, technology is a must-have with high-speed internet and strong cell service (56%) ranked as important features. Buyers also want proximity to essential businesses (51%) and recreational activities (44%).
The short-term rental site Vrbo reports these “snowmads” are often targeting vacation homes in warmer climates like Arizona, California, and Florida—where long-term stays have been stretching 15 days or more.
Have you noticed?

First of all, I want to thank those of you who expressed interest in the zoom call I had organized on the issue of Homeowners Insurance. I postponed it as it appeared that there were not a many of you who expressed interest in getting more information on this important issue. If you would like to speak with Robert Feldman who is the person I had made the arrangements with to conduct the call, please let me know and he will speak with you individually.
Please don’t forget
The data shows the hot housing market has extended into the new year. January marked the fifth consecutive month in which sales increased by double digits. It was the sixth straight month that saw a double-digit increase in the median price — the point at which half the homes sold for more and half for less.
In December, home prices in the U.S. increased by 10.4% year over year to the monthly S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, up from 9.5% growth in November. The trend of accelerating prices that began in June 2020 has now reached its seventh month and is also reflected in their 10- and 20-City Composite Index (up 9.8% and 10% respectively).
Existing-home sales—completed transactions for single-family homes, townhomes, condos, and co-ops—rose 0.6% in January compared to December 2020 and are up nearly 24% over a year ago, the NAR reported last Friday. All four major regions of the U.S. recorded double-digit annual gains for home sales in January.
Clever Real Estate’s latest market survey of 1,000 millennials revealed just how committed they are to homeownership, with 30 % of respondents saying “COVID-19 pushed them to begin house hunting earlier than they originally planned.” In addition to upping their homebuying timeline, a majority of millennials were willing to purchase a fixer-upper (71% or could be persuaded to purchase a home sight unseen (80%).
“The economic recovery remains uneven and far from complete, and the path ahead is highly uncertain,” Powell said in prepared remarks he delivered to the Senate Banking Committee last week.
In a 1910 article, it describes how the alligators were captured, how the eggs were incubated and even how the animals exercised. “With a strong line and a big steel hook baited with pork, it is as easy to catch an alligator as to catch some trout with a minnow,” Inkersley wrote, “but you must know what to do with your alligator when you have caught him.”
After much frustration, I finally got m appointment for my second vaccination. I got caught up in the delay of the shipment of the materials from the east coast because of the horrible snowstorms they had last week. My date is the 25th. I must admit that I have mixed feelings about getting the vaccine: not looking forward to the reaction, but oh so glad to have it be over with.
As some of you may know, both my assistant & I have been working out of my home office since the beginning of August while they remodel the office and rework the space as Coldwell Banker, like so many other businesses understand that the large, beautiful space we have on the top floor of the Union Bank building in Brentwood is being underutilized as more and more agents have been working at home, pre-Covid so they will now be sub leasing a small portion of our space. Sometime in mid-March or so, my assistant Janelle & I will be moving back into the CB space. Once that happens, I will begin the fun chore of replacing the carpet in my house and re-panting the interior. Oh Joy!!!!!
The other day the Los Angeles Times came out with an editorial against one of metro rail formats which is one of the formats being considered. Those studies continue to take place. The other battle is the potential construction of the Berggruen Institute on the last undeveloped acreage in the Santa Monica Mountains immediately adjacent to the Mountaingate community. Both of these programs are on-going studies, and in the case of the Berggruen project is in court and both will probably be going on for the next number of years. If you want more specific information please contact me.. ceschiffer@gmail.com
On Wed the 10th of March at 7:00 pm I will be hosting a Zoom call forum from an expert in Homeowners Insurance. If you wish to join us and send me your email address so I can send you the link. There are still a great number of people who are being told their insurance is being cancelled. He can help. Please send your information to…
Sales volume for January for the five communities I report on — Beverly Hills, Beverly Hills Post Office, Bel-Air/Holmby Hills, Westwood/Century City, and Brentwood — was $202 million vs. $305 million, down 33%. Each of these communities were down, with BHPO off $43 million in sales volume, Brentwood was off by $26 million, Bel-Air/HH down $20 million, Westwood/CC was down $14 million, and Beverly Hills was only off $8 million in sales volume compared to January 2020. It is a bit surprising as the stock market was zooming upward after the start of the year, but we will no doubt hear more after the first quarter reports.
High-end sales had a record year (homes selling for $5 million-plus) on the Westside, but Beverly Hills was off 7% from its previous high at $5.212 million for January…Brentwood was down 11% at $3.627 million and Westwood/Century City was down 3% at $2.520 million.
he latest data underscores how the home-price rally, which over the years has played out in distinct pockets such as Idaho or across parts of the Sun Belt, has become much more widespread and continues to gain momentum. In the fourth quarter, 161 metro areas posted double-digit-percentage price increases, up from 115 metro areas with double-digit gains in the third quarter.
through low interest rates and hefty asset purchases, stressing the labor market remains stunted by the pandemic.
Here are some simple ideas you might follow— 1) Make a Date Night First — you need a plan, so pick a date in the future that is ‘free’ where both partners are not frazzled with heavy work day loads.…2) Consider each other’s feelings and experiences — Since money can sometimes be an issue, pick a ‘date’ that isn’t going to create a hassle by causing the other to feel uncomfortable…like a movie and dinner afterward, or a dinner at your spouse’s favorite restaurant. In their opinion it is truly is not how much you spend but how you spend it. 3) You don’t have to it all in one date — You can spread it out. Their best advice is to ’talk’ about dating and find out what ’they want to do’ — perhaps you can plan a weekend program — half on a Saturday, the rest on Sunday…. visiting a museum one day, picnic in the park the other…be creative. 4) Make it a priority — If you bring up the date night concept, be prepared to follow through. Don’t believe the other spouse hasn’t already put this into their memory bank — the worst you can do is not following up. And 5) Take action — be creative with your budgeting — think outside the ‘date box’ and perhaps go back in time when life was simpler, and yes, less expensive. The key experts have concluded that dating in a marriage or long-term relationship is about having fun — for both parties. During these pandemic times, we have less choices and money can be a challenge, too. Talk, work it out, and have fun!
At 38%, millennials—adults born from 1981 to 1996—represent the largest share of home buyers in the U.S., according to a survey by the National Association of Realtors. According to the NAR survey, it is not uncommon for millennials, who would normally be focusing on starter homes in lower-priced markets, are now jumping into multi-million homes in high-priced markets.
A home being equity-rich means that the combined estimated amount of loans secured by the property is 50% or less of the estimated market value. In short, it means homeowners themselves have accumulated at least half of the equity in their homes. This is one of the primary reasons when buyers say they “are waiting for the market to collapse” are wrong. Because there is so much equity in a number of homes, and this includes condos and townhouses, owners are not likely to walk away from that equity and allow their properties to go into foreclosure. For the most part, they will sell their properties instead.
the late 1800s, which featured closets 2.5 ft deep and 6 ft. wide. But as their utility and benefits became wider known, closets became standard in the housing boom following WW2. Fast becoming entrenched in housing plans, closets took on new meaning — walk-in closets, sectionalized for shoes, apparel, accessories. Companies were formed to create or re-do closets. Architects became more sensitive to ’stuff’.
can assist you in that regard.
Happy Valentine’s Day
“Home sales rose in December, and for 2020 as a whole, we saw sales perform at their highest levels since 2006, despite the pandemic,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “What’s even better is that this momentum is likely to carry into the new year, with more buyers expected to enter the market.”
A new report from CoreLogic shows that national single-family rental prices increased 3.7% year over year in November and are now above the levels before the COVID-19 pandemic started.
There is a house for sale in the Rancho Park area of West Los Angeles that is on the market for approximately $3,000,000 and earlier in the week we had 19 showings! It is going to be interesting to see where the final sales price ends up. The price point between $1,500,000 and $3,500,000 is ON FIRE RIGHT NOW! Who are these buyers? Generally, they are first time buyers taking advantage of the interest rates and the fact that we are seeing the “possible light at the end of the tunnel” as far as COVID-19 is concerned. Come join the party!
There were 725 closed sales of $5 million-plus in 2020, versus 560 in 2019, up 30%. Of these, 219 were $10 million-plus versus 162 in 2019, up 35% Sixty-one (61) of these were $20 million-plus versus 43 in 2019, up 42%.
“There is robust home price appreciation and that builds wealth for those who own a home,” stated Laurie Goodman, vice president at the Urban Institute. However, a shortage of homes for sale is prompting home prices to rise fast and that is shutting out many buyers. The national median existing-home price in December was $309,800, up nearly 13% compared to a year earlier according to the National Association of Realtors.
Finally got my first vaccine the other day, and I must tell you that getting that appointment was an exercise in frustration. Those of you who are in the approved categories know what I am referring to. After searching online for a bit to find an appointment, you begin the registration process only to have it all go away while you are in the process of registering and then finding another opening, securing the appointment, and then having it cancelled because they have run out of product. So far, so good no problems.. Hope it stays that way, and soon everyone will be able to their vaccines.
Food offerings are a prayer or a wish and can be addressed to ancestors and other beings such as the Jade Emperor and The Kitchen God. The offering of food serves to bring ancestors and other beings in the other world closer to oneself. There are many foods to be eaten during the celebration, including long life noodles. Here are some facts about some of the symbolic foods:
Also, lately I have been doing a few videos that you can find on my YouTube channel. Caroleschiffer@youtube.com.. They are on a number of different subjects including getting emotionally qualified to either buy or sell a house!


You must be logged in to post a comment.