The SchifferLine
Timely Real Estate News………………………….1 June 2022
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Existing home sales down 2.4% in April
If you’re reading the latest economic news, it is not surprising that existing home sales are down — inventory is lightening up some, prices remain high, interest rates up.
The National Association of Realtors reported existing home sales were down for a third straight month, slipping slightly in April. Month-over-month sales were split amongst the four major U.S. regions, with two areas posting gains and the other two experiencing waning sales in April. Year-over-year sales struggled, as each of the four regions reported dips. Existing-home sales in the West dipped 5.8% compared to the previous month, registering an annual rate of 1,140,000 in April, down 8.1% from one year ago. The median price in the West was $523,000, up 4.3% from April 2021.
Total existing-home sales, completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, slid 2.4% from March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.61 million in April. Year-over-year, sales dropped 5.9% (5.96 million in April 2021).
“Higher home prices and sharply higher mortgage rates have reduced buyer activity,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “It looks like more declines are imminent in the upcoming months, and we’ll likely return to the pre-pandemic home sales activity after the remarkable surge over the past two years.”
Total housing inventory at the end of April amounted to 1,030,000 units, up 10.8% from March and down 10.4% from one year ago (1.15 million). Unsold inventory sits at a 2.2-month supply at the current sales pace, up from 1.9 months in March and down from 2.3 months in April 2021.
“Housing supply has started to improve, albeit at an extremely sluggish pace,” said Yun. He also noted the rare state of the current marketplace.
“The market is quite unusual as sales are coming down, but listed homes are still selling swiftly, and home prices are much higher than a year ago,” said Yun.
“Moreover, an increasing number of buyers with short tenure expectations could opt for 5-year adjustable-rate mortgages, thereby assuring fixed payments over five years because of the rate reset,” he added. “The cash buyers, not impacted by mortgage rate changes, remain elevated.”
We are also seeing more buyers going for fixed rate loans rather than the adjustable they have in recent years.
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New home sales plunge 1.7% in April
Sales of new, single-family houses in the U.S. dropped 1.7% — more than expected last month to the lowest level in two years as rising construction costs, home prices, interest rates and supply chain woes continue to batter the industry.
The U.S. Census Bureau’s latest data shows the pace of new home sales fell by 16.6% in April from the month before at a seasonally adjusted rate of 591,000. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv anticipated a dip of 1.7%.
The drop is 26.9% lower than a year ago, and the lowest since April 2020. This is the
fourth straight month new home sales have declined.
The Census Bureau reported that the median sales price of new homes hit $450,600 last month. With interest rates now upward of 5.8%, the rising cost of homeownership is pricing more would-be buyers out of the market.
“One year ago, 25% of new home sales were priced below $300,000,” explained Odeta Kushi, deputy chief economist at First American. “In April of this year, only 10% of new home sales were priced below $300,000.”
Inventory of new homes was also up last month, according to government data. “New home months’ supply jumped to 9 months, up from 6.9 months in March and the highest since 2010,” Kushi noted, predicting, “Builders will likely slow construction in the months ahead.”
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Housing demand surges in pricey suburbs
New residential sales data shows that the most popular housing markets of 2022 are the top 10 pricey suburbs just outside a major city. Among the pandemic’s prevailing housing market trends has been a surge in demand in the suburbs, as urban dwellers reevaluate their needs amid a rise in remote work.
These markets include, Woodinville, Washington; Highlands Ranch, Colorado; Westchase, Florida; Yorba Linda, California, John’s Creek, George; and Tustin, California.
The most popular markets so far this year paint a picture of how remote work has changed the U.S. housing landscape. Demand for suburban homes found an extra gear last summer, perhaps as buyers gained more clarity in their employers’ return-to-office policies.
Research suggests the rise of remote work is responsible for roughly half of home-price growth during the pandemic. How many employers continue to allow this flexibility for employees to live where they choose will go a long way toward determining which markets are most in demand in the future.
The report also found that home prices were increasing in all 10 markets at a faster rate than their nearest major city, underscoring the lasting popularity of suburban markets amid the pandemic.
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NAR’s economist views 2022 with caution….
Two years after enduring the devastating financial impacts of COVID-19, the U.S. economy has made an impressive comeback, in large part due to a booming housing market. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun noted there are significant questions regarding the sector’s direction over the coming months. According to Yun, housing kept the economy afloat as home prices rose and buyer demand intensified during the Pandemic.
“However, this year has already thrown some curveballs, including record-low inventory and unyielding inflation.” Yun says inflation will persist and in turn cause strain for would-be buyers. Additionally, other external economic factors will negatively impact the market, both indirectly and directly, he said.
“The Russia-Ukraine war and escalating fuel prices have contributed to further housing unaffordability for buyers.” And Yun explained that a more immediate impact for home seekers has been the rapid increase of mortgage rates, along with other anti-inflationary actions from the Federal Reserve.
“Mortgages now compared to just a few months ago are costing more money for home buyers,” he said. “For a median-priced home, the price difference is $300 to $400 more per month, which is a hefty toll for a working family.”
NAR calculates purchasing a home is now 55% more expensive than a year ago. These rising mortgage rates and prices hurt affordability, and although wages are improving, Yun says they are “wiped away” due to inflation.
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Bidding wars for apartments….and no refrigerator?
This is happening all over Southern California. The availability of apartments in Los Angeles and surrounding counties is so tight that some renters are paying above list price to secure a high-quality unit, while others jostle for the remaining stock of apartments. And many are coming with no refrigerators.
As a result, renters are scrambling to ‘get in line’ for rentals and it is not uncommon to find multiple offers now going to premium rentals — condos or single-family homes. LA County rents are up 16% from a year ago, when the rental market was still subdued by people who moved in with family or moved inland for more space — as remote working demands increased across the Southland.
The Los Angeles Times recently covered another phenomenon — rental units, which once included refrigerators, are now renting ‘without’. This is forcing renters to scramble on Craig’s List, Facebook Marketplace, and the newly created Underground Fridge economy to find the appliance. Lucky renters with extra cash opt out of the used refrigerators and go to Best Buy or Home Depot and get a new one delivered. The Times reported that the National Multifamily Housing council that California has more apartments without refrigerators than any other state in the union.
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Los Angeles’ glorious architectural history
We have covered several other prominent architectural gems in The Schiffer Line before, and today, we are sharing with you other renown attractions that have earned their place as part of our area’s amazing cultural history.
Lummis House, Highland Park
Built and named after its namesake, Charles Lummis, a passionate convert to the life and culture of Southern California, as is truly one of its most fabulous founding characters. The Lummis House is located in Highland Park, which he built of boulders dragged up from the Arroyo Seco, the sometimes-waterway of which Teddy Roosevelt told Angelenos: “This arroyo would make one of the greatest parks in the world.”
Naturally, we turned it into the Pasadena Freeway according to a recent Los Angeles Times article…and that’s true. Lummis was the City Librarian and insisted all Angelenos read about our history.
Skirball Cultural Center, Sepulveda Pass
Like the Getty, it sits atop a hill above the Sepulveda Pass and has its own exit sign on the 405. It is a meeting and exhibit space describing itself as “guided by the Jewish tradition of welcoming the stranger and inspired by the American democratic ideals of freedom and equality.”
Jack H. Skirball may have been the world’s only rabbi, developer, and philanthropist. He spent nine years as a rabbi but moonlighted as a film salesman and wound up producing nearly 60, most of them short subjects but two of them Hitchcock’s.
Norton Simon Museum, Pasadena
Even if you haven’t visited this museum, most likely you’ve seen it. It stands near the “starting line” of the New Year’s Day Tournament of Roses Parade on Colorado Blvd.
Founded as Pasadena’s art museum, it was facing ruin in 1974 when it agreed to Norton Simon taking it over, paying its bills and installing his own enormous and top-notch collection there.
Simon’s wife, Oscar-winning actress Jennifer Jones, oversaw the museum’s renovation and collection, and an LA Times art critic called Simon the “mercurial Medici of Los Angeles art
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Water water – no where to be seen & fires
As we approach summer, I don’t know about you, but it makes me so very sad that we find ourselves in the position
of making choices about cutting down to watering our gardens two or perhaps even one day a week, and the potential loss of our plant materials. We all need to pitch in and do our part to conserver as much water as we can.
Also, about two weeks ago in the course of 3 days, we had 5 brush fires in the Sepulveda Pass going north between the entrance to Bel Air Crest and the north bound on ramp to the 405. It is heart breaking to see the damage.
If you see someone smoking in the Canyon and they toss their cigarette out the windows, honk your horn and ask them to put it out in their car and not on the street or roads.
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What is happening in my world?
I recently had cataract surgery in both of my eyes. When I shared that I was going to undergo this procedure, so many said, “Oh Yea” , I had it and it is so easy, and it is amazing how much difference it makes. They were 1000% correct! I did not realize how bad my eyes had gotten, and my doctors said I really could have waited… so very glad I didn’t.
I know there are some comments about the slowing down of the market, but honestly, I do not see it. In our weekly sales meetings when transactions are being discussed, the numbers simply have not changed, nor am I seeing any difference in my business nor that of my colleagues. As I have talked about in the past, I have a great number of buyers, and if I had the inventory to sell to them, they would be thrilled! The majority of these buyers are obviously impacted by the increase in interest rates, so their purchase numbers are a ”little harder”, but they all still want to buy a new home. I repeat my quest and search, so if you are at all thinking about making a move, or know someone who is, please give me a call… 310-442-1384

I hope you all had a wonderful Memorial Day Holiday weekend.
Talk to you soon
Carole: 310 442-1384
Carole Schiffer, Realtor Coldwell-Banker Residential Brokerage/Brentwood Office 310-442-1384 (office) or e-mail me at carole@caroleschiffer.com www.caroleschiffer.com
CalBRE 00677619
©2022 Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC. Coldwell Banker is a registered trademark licensed to Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC 234567An Equity Company. Equal Housing Opportunity. Owned and Operated by NRT LLC

It’s not on the calendar that summer actually begins on this annual holiday, but most Americans think so This three-day weekend which gives us all a chance to taste the spoils of the summer season. Although living in Southern California, especially during our drought, we don’t have to put our raincoats away, we seem to dress like it’s summer every day. Enjoy your Memorial Day weekend and summer….Carole
Median sale prices for 2022 were mixed across the board — Beverly Hills, an expanded area from previous MILS reporting data, was up 15% in MSP at $3.477 million, compared to $3.025 million a year ago at this time. Bel-Air/Holmby Hills was up 65% to $4.090 million compared to $2.350 million in 2021.
properties ’sit’ before escrows open? The median days on market for Beverly Hills was 29 days for April, 35 days for Bel-Air/Holmby Hills, 14 days for Brentwood, 15 days for Westwood/Century City, and 14 days for Santa Monica. The higher-priced homes — in Beverly Hills and Bel-Air/Holmby Hills — generally take twice as long to move off the market.
The share of home sellers dropping their asking prices has risen to a six-month high. The percentage is still low, but the quicker pace of price drops is notable, researchers say.
There have been 368 sales of $5 million-plus so far this year, versus 336 at this time last year, up 9%. Of these, 128 were $10 million-plus this year, versus 117 at this time last year, up 8.5%. Thirty-six (36) were $20 million-plus this year, versus 28 at this time last year, up 29%.
These increases come as median single-family existing-home prices rose at a faster rate nationally – 15.7% – from one year ago, up to $368,200. In comparison, the year-over-year pace in the prior quarter was 14.3%. Notably, the Southern region of the Country made up 45% of single-family existing-home sales in the first quarter and notched a double-digit price appreciation of 20.1%. Meanwhile, the Northeast saw a climb of 6.7%, the Midwest 8.5%, and the West 5.9%.
“April data suggests a positive turn of events is on the horizon for weary buyers: If the trends we’re seeing now hold true, we could potentially see year-over-year inventory growth within the next few weeks,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist for Realtor.com.
About one in four homes are in need of serious repairs. Forty-five % of homes are less safe due to those neglected repairs, the study finds. The average homeowner waits more than 10 months to make a critical repair on the home.
Because of the drought, winds and heat, we are in for a long hot summer and the fire we had by my house was too small as the news stations were concentrating on the bigger fires including the tragic one in Laguna Nigel. I am not sure if you noticed, but the flames on the houses were coming up from the bottom and as a result, the homes were burning from the inside out.
seller installed a completely new roof, drain pipes and gutters, refinished the oak floors, painted the interior, did the termite repair work as well as tented it, and cleaned up the landscaping.
condominiums and co-ops, dipped 2.7% from February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.77 million in March. Year-over-year, sales fell 4.5% (6.04 million in March 2021).
On average, half of buyers made two offers before being successful in their purchase by the third try, the survey shows. And buyers are paying more than list price, too. Fifty-seven (57%) percent of buyers offered above the list price, which is up from 48% in February.
(53%) anticipate an offer within a month. Thirty-six percent (36%) said they would be able to negotiate a better price, 31% said their appraisal would come back at a higher price, 30% fee that buyers will start a bidding war over their home, but 25% said they will sell for less than the asking price.
“If you’re holding back from buying a house now because of the rise in rates, consider that inflation is up even more.” “A year ago, it was running at 2.6% on a year over year basis (March 2020-March 2021).”: Today, this retrospective annual inflation measure is 8.5%”. “We haven’t seen inflation this high since the early 1980s”” If inflation continues at this rate, you’re better off borrowing money today at 5% and paying back a year from now with dollars that have depreciated by 8.5%”.
The outdoor watering restrictions will take effect June 1 under the decision by the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California and will apply to areas that depend on water from the drought-ravaged State Water Project. “We are seeing conditions unlike anything we have seen before,” said Adel Hagekhalil, the district’s general manager. “We need serious demand reductions.”
Sustainability continues to play a growing role in consumers’ purchasing decisions, and this is becoming even more prevalent in the real estate market,” said NAR President Leslie Rouda Smith. “With the residential property market, in particular, home buyers have expressed increased interest in eco-friendly factors like solar panels and energy efficiency
sometimes-waterway of which Teddy Roosevelt told Angelenos: “This arroyo would make one of the greatest parks in the world.” Naturally, we turned it into the Pasadena Freeway. Located at 200 East Avenue 43…opens at 10 am on Saturdays and Sunday only.
In the amazing community of Westwood Hills is the charming, home located at 521 Veteran Ave. Being offered at $1,699,000 this lovely 3 1/34 bath has been polished, shined for all to see. There is a brand-new roof including gutters and drain spouts, gleaming solid oak floors, freshly painted interior, completely landscaped, two fireplaces, an amazing upstairs family room with desk and steps leading to a lovely garden.

On the other hand, Bel-Air/Holmby Hills’s median sales price for March was up 88%, at $4.050 million, and Westwood/Century City was at $1.250 million or up 83%, while Brentwood was $2.100 million, up 9%.
rates are going to continue to go up. Some economists see as much as 8% for mortgage rates in the near future, so today’s rate of 5.1% looks like a bargain. They also all say that should the rates climb to 8% they will “level back “ down in the 5 range. While these rates are certainly as low as they have been for the last few years, in the scheme of things they are still low, and again, are likely to stay at this rate. As we have seen before, those who are waiting for the ’return to normal’ are going to be frustrated as they have been in the past. We’re past the ’new’ normal. Waiting for the rate to get better is in my esteemed opinion fool hardy as is not going to happen. Wish I could tell you otherwise, but as they say, “A is A” Ayn Rand – “Fountain Head”.
advantageous due to their low interest rate. According to my favorite lender, Simon Atik at Guarantee Rate Affinity that loan rate was 5.1%.
Realtors drive much more than the general population and have felt the pain at the pump. To airfare, which rose 24%, and pretty much to all goods that are transported. Higher energy prices moreover will provide revenue to energy-producing countries including Russia, irrespective of economic sanctions. It is a lower energy price from raising global oil supply that will squeeze Putin.”quantify this, gasoline prices were up 48% from a year ago. Higher energy prices will also filter up to
As I stated above, mortgage rates are now 5.1% and could go as high as 8% later this year. Not only do higher interest rates mean buyers’ monthly mortgage payments are going to rise, it will also result in some buyers, who must meet banks’ strict debt-to-income rations — losing their mortgage eligibility. Fewer buyers should result, however, in a deflation of U.S. home price growth, which is up 18.8% over the past 12 months.
The refinance share of all applications fell to 38.8% from 51% a year ago. Mortgage applications to purchase a home declined 3% for the week and were 9% lower than the same week one year ago.
The CoreLogic HPI Forecast, a leading real estate tracking source, indicates that home prices will increase on a month-over-month basis by 0.6% from February 2022 to March 2022 and on a year-over-year basis by 5% from February 2022 to February 2023.
What makes Brentwood Circle unique is that it has the prestigious, world-famous Getty Center as its neighbor to the north. And with that, a bit of trivia and history: When the Getty Trust decided to build on their incredible property in Sepulveda Pass in the 1980s, one of their emergency access roads to their property was through the Brentwood Circle neighborhood.



only the current configuration which offers a broader view of what is happening in these communities. Each month, I will continue to cover other communities where I also work, and this month I will be reporting on Venice.
Without question, the sales volume increased substantially, and The Schiffer Line is starting with a new baseline for the above communities, and we will be comparing total sales vs. the new reformatted sales data as of February’s 2022 report. Total sales for the five communities I regularly report on for the first two months of 2022 were $1.284 billion — with Beverly Hills leading the way with $611 million, followed by Westwood/Century with $250 million, Brentwood with $206 million and Bel-Air/Holmby Hills at $142 million. Venice had $117 million through February 2022.
A good place to start is with your local fire safe council, which you can locate on the California Fire Safe Council website. These groups draw up wildfire plans, educate local homeowners about prevention and tackle larger projects to protect their communities, such as clearing brush and creating firebreaks.
The war-induced drop-in U.S. mortgage rates was short-lived. Rates popped up again last week to the highest level in nearly two years. This may just be the beginning as the war in Ukraine drags on.
Declining unemployment rates and higher home prices are helping more homeowners stay afloat. “National home prices increased by 18.5% year-over-year, helping more owners regain equity,” Molly Boesel, principal and economist at CoreLogic, writes: “The combination of these dynamics pushed the overall mortgage delinquency and foreclosure rates to the lowest levels that CoreLogic has recorded in more than two decades.”
A new study from the National Association of Realtors examines the distribution of housing wealth between 2010 and 2020 across income groups and in 917 metropolitan or micropolitan areas. NAR found that during those 10 years, nearly 980,000 middle-income households became homeowners. Within that timeframe, total housing wealth for this income group surged by $2.1 trillion.
The typical home sold in 61 days in January, which is 10 days less than in January 2021 and nearly a month (29 days) faster than the typical pace of sales in January between 2017 and 2020, according to realtor.com. In some of the hottest markets, such as Nashville, San Diego, San Jose, Denver and Raleigh, homes sold in 36 days or less in January.
battery, under 10 kWh, you can often make do with the Level 1 charging system that comes with the vehicle. For plug-in cars with larger batteries, Level 2 is your best bet for overnight charging and quick top-ups
We have some work to do on it before putting it on the market sometime in the next few weeks, but it is a lovely house in Westwood Hills and very convenient to the UCLA campus (available for a short walk particularly helpful what we are paying for gas these days!). Call me & I will let you know when we are ready to show our shiny new face! 310 442-1384 – Carole

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